2004 ALCS Win Probabilities

I recently happened upon the following very interesting analysis of the 2004 ALCS between the Yankees and the Red Sox.

Win Probability charts for the 2004 Red Sox-Yankees ALCS

The site includes a chart of the overall probability of winning the series as a function of time, as well as the same plots for each individual game. Also included is the WPA (Win Probability Added) values for individual players in each game. Very interesting stuff.

For a brief explanation of WPA, check out the Wikipedia entry:

Wikipedia: Win Probability Added